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V-Lab

British Pound EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

5.65%

decreased by 0.12%

1 Week

5.72%

decreased by 0.05%

1 Month

5.99%

increased by 0.22%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of British Pound EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 89 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 42% more than positive returns

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.0039
-6.51***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0774
25.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9922
2,097.71***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0135
-5.64***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

89 days