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V-Lab
V-Lab

Canadian Dollar EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

4.30%

decreased by 0.12%

1 Week

4.35%

decreased by 0.07%

1 Month

4.53%

increased by 0.11%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 01:34 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/04/2024

to

10/04/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Canadian Dollar EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 144 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~144 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst-0.0019
-0.67
αARCH0.0814
7.84***
βGARCH0.9952
674.26***
γleverage0.0128
1.52

0.995

Persistence

144d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.0019
-0.67
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0814
7.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9952
674.26***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0128
1.52

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

144 days