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US Dollar to Philippine Peso EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026

1 Day

4.83%

decreased by 0.18%

1 Week

4.97%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Month

5.43%

increased by 0.42%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 08:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of US Dollar to Philippine Peso EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 18, 1992 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 19-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst-0.0559
-1.53
αARCH0.1517
2.90***
βGARCH0.9649
51.42***
γleverage0.0130
0.34

0.965

Persistence

19d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.0559
-1.53
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1517
2.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9649
51.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0130
0.34

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

19 days