V-Lab
Norwegian Krone EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026
1 Day
6.34%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Week
6.43%
increased by 0.07%
1 Month
6.80%
increased by 0.44%
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 07:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 84 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
EGARCH Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~84 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | -0.0009 | -0.40 |
| αARCH | 0.0802 | 6.09*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9918 | 435.56*** |
| γleverage | 0.0091 | 0.79 |
0.992
Persistence84d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0009 | -0.40 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0802 | 6.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9918 | 435.56*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0091 | 0.79 |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
84 days
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