Norwegian Krone EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
6.72%
increased by 0.05%
1 Week
6.81%
increased by 0.14%
1 Month
7.17%
increased by 0.50%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 84 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
EGARCH Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~84 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | -0.0008 | -0.39 |
| αARCH | 0.0802 | 6.11*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9918 | 438.08*** |
| γleverage | 0.0091 | 0.80 |
0.992
Persistence84d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0008 | -0.39 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0802 | 6.11*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9918 | 438.08*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0091 | 0.80 |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
84 days
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