Argentine Peso EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
7.97%
increased by 0.07%
1 Week
8.29%
increased by 0.39%
1 Month
9.59%
increased by 1.69%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 29, 2002 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 48 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 48 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0185 | 7.92*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2799 | 47.33*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9857 | 720.51*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0168 | 1.52 |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
48 days
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