V-Lab
Argentine Peso EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
4.35%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Week
4.60%
decreased by 0.09%
1 Month
5.71%
increased by 1.02%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 01:18 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 29, 2002 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 48 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 48 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 48-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0179 | 1.92* |
| αARCH | 0.2783 | 11.80*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9856 | 180.55*** |
| γleverage | 0.0167 | 0.38 |
0.986
Persistence48d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0179 | 1.92* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2783 | 11.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9856 | 180.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0167 | 0.38 |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
48 days
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