Argentine Peso MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026
1 Day
7.72%
increased by 0.52%
1 Week
8.32%
increased by 1.12%
1 Month
10.77%
increased by 3.57%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, June 17, 2026 at 09:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 91 | ||
| 0.1937 | 29.68 | |
| 0.8210 | 384.71 | |
| -0.0293 | -2.84 | |
| 0.0149 | 15.84 | |
| 0.0215 | 7.69 | |
| 0.9785 | 304.17 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 6, 1992 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 6, 1992 to Jun 12, 2026
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