Argentine Peso GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, April 1st, 2026
1 Day
10.38%
increased by 0.47%
1 Week
10.40%
increased by 0.49%
1 Month
10.49%
increased by 0.58%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, March 31, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0009 | 10.35 | |
| 0.1446 | 23.34 | |
| 0.8867 | 327.30 | |
| -0.0625 | -6.68 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 29, 2002 to Mar 27, 2026
Mar 29, 2002 to Mar 27, 2026
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