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Bitcoin to US Dollar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026

1 Day

48.44%

decreased by 3.33%

1 Week

50.60%

decreased by 1.17%

1 Month

57.79%

increased by 6.02%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 07:02 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/07/2024

to

11/07/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bitcoin to US Dollar GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 17, 2010 to Nov 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 47 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 47 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 47-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5678
4.45***
αARCH0.1564
4.02***
βGARCH0.8220
40.98***
γleverage0.0139
0.20

0.985

Persistence

47d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5678
4.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1564
4.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8220
40.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0139
0.20

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

47 days