Skip to main content
V-Lab

Bitcoin to US Dollar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

33.09%

decreased by 0.86%

1 Week

36.71%

increased by 2.76%

1 Month

47.62%

increased by 13.67%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 06:01 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bitcoin to US Dollar GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 17, 2010 to Aug 15, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 49 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 49 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5683
17.57***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1570
16.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8223
163.70***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0136
0.78

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

49 days