V-Lab
Bitcoin to US Dollar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
35.17%
decreased by 1.19%
1 Week
38.62%
increased by 2.26%
1 Month
49.13%
increased by 12.77%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 07:13 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 17, 2010 to Jul 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 46 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 46 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5854 | 17.67*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1571 | 16.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8209 | 161.69*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0143 | 0.82 |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
46 days
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