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V-Lab

Bitcoin to US Dollar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

35.17%

decreased by 1.19%

1 Week

38.62%

increased by 2.26%

1 Month

49.13%

increased by 12.77%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 07:13 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Bitcoin to US Dollar GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 17, 2010 to Jul 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 46 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 46 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5854
17.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1571
16.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8209
161.69***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0143
0.82

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

46 days