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V-Lab

Malaysian Ringgit GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

4.22%

decreased by 0.05%

1 Week

4.27%

decreased by 0.00%

1 Month

4.44%

increased by 0.17%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 07:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Malaysian Ringgit GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 30, 2005 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 216 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0010
20.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0886
23.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9107
429.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0049
-0.81

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

216 days