V-Lab
Malaysian Ringgit GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
3.27%
increased by 0.92%
1 Week
3.34%
increased by 0.99%
1 Month
3.58%
increased by 1.23%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2005 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 217 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0010 | 20.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0906 | 23.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9085 | 424.73*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0046 | -0.74 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
217 days
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