Malaysian Ringgit GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
4.22%
decreased by 0.05%
1 Week
4.27%
decreased by 0.00%
1 Month
4.44%
increased by 0.17%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 07:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2005 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 216 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0010 | 20.24*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0886 | 23.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9107 | 429.76*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0049 | -0.81 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
216 days
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