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Malaysian Ringgit APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

3.18%

decreased by 0.12%

1 Week

3.25%

decreased by 0.05%

1 Month

3.52%

increased by 0.22%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 01:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Malaysian Ringgit APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 30, 2005 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 211 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~211 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0011
2.39**
αARCH0.0886
7.13***
βGARCH0.9098
106.38***
γleverage-0.0119
-0.27
δpower1.9480
8.11***

0.997

Persistence

211d

Half-life
σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0011
2.39**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0886
7.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9098
106.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0119
-0.27
δ

power

Transformation power

1.9480
8.11***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

211 days