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V-Lab

Peruvian New Sol MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

4.05%

increased by 0.12%

1 Week

8.22%

increased by 4.29%

1 Month

111.49%

increased by 107.56%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Peruvian New Sol MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 15, 1991 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1769
23.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4373
25.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0019
-0.06
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0176
0.12
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9958
1.72*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.613

Half-life:

1 days