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V-Lab

Pakistani Rupee MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

4.64%

increased by 1.17%

1 Week

5.43%

increased by 1.96%

1 Month

7.42%

increased by 3.95%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 07:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Pakistani Rupee MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1733
11.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5212
21.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0327
0.71
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0242
0.59
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7999
1.07
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0890
0.12

Persistence:

0.711

Half-life:

2 days