Skip to main content
V-Lab

Pakistani Rupee MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

3.89%

increased by 0.15%

1 Week

4.99%

increased by 1.25%

1 Month

7.58%

increased by 3.84%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 07:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Pakistani Rupee MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1725
11.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5206
21.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0337
0.74
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0241
0.59
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8003
1.06
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0887
0.12

Persistence:

0.710

Half-life:

2 days