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V-Lab

Pakistani Rupee MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026

1 Day

3.67%

decreased by 0.17%

1 Week

4.68%

increased by 0.84%

1 Month

7.11%

increased by 3.27%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 28, 2026 at 07:11 PM UTC

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graph of Pakistani Rupee MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow56
αARCH0.1733
4.74***
βGARCH0.5188
9.29***
γleverage0.0326
0.63
λ₁tau intercept0.0240
1.52
λ₂forecast adj.0.8004
2.84***
λ₃tau persistence0.0882
0.28

0.708

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1733
4.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5188
9.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0326
0.63
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0240
1.52
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8004
2.84***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0882
0.28

Persistence:

0.708

Half-life:

2 days