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V-Lab

Peruvian New Sol Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Thursday, April 2nd, 2026

1 Day

3.29%

decreased by 1.24%

1 Week

3.29%

decreased by 1.24%

1 Month

3.29%

decreased by 1.24%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, April 1, 2026 at 07:02 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Peruvian New Sol S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
ω0.35633,563,080.00
α0.53405,340,430.00
β0.46604,659,570.00
γ1-1.2735-12,734,780.00
γ23.285232,852,470.00
γ3-7.0754-70,754,270.00
γ412.2386122,385,500.00
γ5-10.6768-106,768,400.00
γ63.650336,503,290.00
γ7-0.2427-2,427,230.00
γ80.22092,208,660.00
γ9-0.2141-2,140,960.00
γ100.12301,230,110.00
Estimation Period:
Jan 5, 1996 to Mar 27, 2026