Peruvian New Sol Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Thursday, April 2nd, 2026
1 Day
3.29%
decreased by 1.24%
1 Week
3.29%
decreased by 1.24%
1 Month
3.29%
decreased by 1.24%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, April 1, 2026 at 07:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3563 | 3,563,080.00 | |
| 0.5340 | 5,340,430.00 | |
| 0.4660 | 4,659,570.00 | |
| -1.2735 | -12,734,780.00 | |
| 3.2852 | 32,852,470.00 | |
| -7.0754 | -70,754,270.00 | |
| 12.2386 | 122,385,500.00 | |
| -10.6768 | -106,768,400.00 | |
| 3.6503 | 36,503,290.00 | |
| -0.2427 | -2,427,230.00 | |
| 0.2209 | 2,208,660.00 | |
| -0.2141 | -2,140,960.00 | |
| 0.1230 | 1,230,110.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 5, 1996 to Mar 27, 2026
Jan 5, 1996 to Mar 27, 2026
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