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Ripple to US Dollar Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 28th, 2026

1 Day

43.02%

decreased by 5.30%

1 Week

43.96%

decreased by 4.36%

1 Month

45.25%

decreased by 3.07%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 28, 2026 at 06:03 AM UTC

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graph of Ripple to US Dollar S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 7, 2018 to Sep 26, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.6457
4.74***
αARCH0.1992
4.74***
βGARCH0.6143
9.80***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.3482
0.86
γ2-0.3850
-0.63
γ30.5947
1.41
γ4-1.6472
-3.21***
γ52.1265
2.70***
γ6-1.9375
-1.83*
γ71.8010
1.96*
γ8-1.6721
-2.98***
γ91.1127
3.07***

0.813

Persistence

3d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6457
4.74***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1992
4.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6143
9.80***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.3482
0.86
γ2-0.3850
-0.63
γ30.5947
1.41
γ4-1.6472
-3.21***
γ52.1265
2.70***
γ6-1.9375
-1.83*
γ71.8010
1.96*
γ8-1.6721
-2.98***
γ91.1127
3.07***

Persistence:

0.813

Half-life:

3 days