Indian Rupee Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 25th, 2026
1 Day
5.60%
decreased by 0.49%
1 Week
5.61%
decreased by 0.48%
1 Month
5.67%
decreased by 0.42%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, May 24, 2026 at 01:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6769 | 0.03 | |
| 0.1589 | 0.00 | |
| 0.8411 | 0.01 | |
| 0.0072 | 0.00 | |
| -0.1267 | 0.00 | |
| 0.1280 | 0.00 | |
| 0.0059 | 0.00 | |
| -0.0169 | 0.00 | |
| -0.0336 | -0.02 | |
| 0.0561 | 0.02 | |
| -0.0011 | 0.00 | |
| -0.0832 | -0.70 | |
| 0.1137 | 0.16 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 4, 1991 to May 22, 2026
Jul 4, 1991 to May 22, 2026
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