Indian Rupee Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, April 15th, 2026
1 Day
4.91%
decreased by 0.43%
1 Week
4.92%
decreased by 0.42%
1 Month
4.99%
decreased by 0.35%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, April 14, 2026 at 07:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6680 | 0.04 | |
| 0.1607 | 0.00 | |
| 0.8393 | 0.02 | |
| 0.0047 | 0.00 | |
| -0.1240 | 0.00 | |
| 0.1296 | 0.00 | |
| 0.0012 | 0.00 | |
| -0.0112 | 0.00 | |
| -0.0375 | -0.02 | |
| 0.0537 | 0.03 | |
| 0.0082 | 0.01 | |
| -0.0925 | -0.11 | |
| 0.1173 | 0.13 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 4, 1991 to Apr 10, 2026
Jul 4, 1991 to Apr 10, 2026
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