Indian Rupee Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 7th, 2026
1 Day
4.20%
decreased by 0.19%
1 Week
4.21%
decreased by 0.18%
1 Month
4.28%
decreased by 0.11%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 6, 2026 at 07:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6684 | 0.03 | |
| 0.1574 | 0.00 | |
| 0.8426 | 0.02 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| -0.1163 | 0.00 | |
| 0.1267 | 0.00 | |
| 0.0030 | 0.00 | |
| -0.0180 | 0.00 | |
| -0.0300 | -0.03 | |
| 0.0534 | 0.03 | |
| 0.0023 | 0.04 | |
| -0.0878 | -0.06 | |
| 0.1166 | 0.09 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 4, 1991 to Jul 3, 2026
Jul 4, 1991 to Jul 3, 2026
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