Indian Rupee Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, May 5th, 2026
1 Day
4.55%
decreased by 0.40%
1 Week
4.57%
decreased by 0.38%
1 Month
4.64%
decreased by 0.31%
Analysis last updated: Monday, May 4, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6723 | 0.03 | |
| 0.1605 | 0.00 | |
| 0.8395 | 0.01 | |
| 0.0032 | 0.00 | |
| -0.1229 | 0.00 | |
| 0.1312 | 0.00 | |
| -0.0004 | 0.00 | |
| -0.0117 | 0.00 | |
| -0.0356 | -0.02 | |
| 0.0549 | 0.02 | |
| 0.0015 | 0.00 | |
| -0.0846 | -1.39 | |
| 0.1130 | 0.23 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 4, 1991 to May 1, 2026
Jul 4, 1991 to May 1, 2026
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