Indian Rupee Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 22nd, 2026
1 Day
6.76%
decreased by 0.14%
1 Week
7.40%
increased by 0.50%
1 Month
9.54%
increased by 2.64%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, June 21, 2026 at 01:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7313 | 0.06 | |
| 0.1727 | 0.00 | |
| 0.8273 | 0.01 | |
| 0.0124 | 0.00 | |
| -0.1353 | 0.00 | |
| 0.1333 | 0.00 | |
| 0.0062 | 0.00 | |
| -0.0231 | 0.00 | |
| -0.0275 | -0.02 | |
| 0.0495 | 0.02 | |
| 0.0180 | 0.02 | |
| -0.1408 | -0.03 | |
| 0.3777 | 0.04 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 4, 1991 to Jun 19, 2026
Jul 4, 1991 to Jun 19, 2026
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