Indian Rupee Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 11th, 2026
1 Day
6.72%
increased by 0.13%
1 Week
7.21%
increased by 0.62%
1 Month
8.93%
increased by 2.34%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 8, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7359 | 0.09 | |
| 0.1739 | 0.00 | |
| 0.8261 | 0.01 | |
| 0.0164 | 0.00 | |
| -0.1408 | 0.00 | |
| 0.1351 | 0.00 | |
| 0.0053 | 0.00 | |
| -0.0209 | 0.00 | |
| -0.0297 | -0.02 | |
| 0.0476 | 0.03 | |
| 0.0251 | 0.02 | |
| -0.1501 | -0.03 | |
| 0.3787 | 0.05 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 4, 1991 to May 8, 2026
Jul 4, 1991 to May 8, 2026
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