Mexican Peso Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:10.11% (-0.70%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8841 | 3.85 | |
| 0.1393 | 7.41 | |
| 0.8224 | 42.37 | |
| 0.0072 | 0.16 | |
| -0.0280 | -0.42 | |
| 0.0312 | 0.78 | |
| 0.0176 | 0.60 | |
| -0.0753 | -3.16 | |
| 0.1051 | 4.61 | |
| -0.1217 | -4.83 | |
| 0.1194 | 3.60 | |
| -0.1378 | -2.99 |
Estimation Period:
May 31, 1995 to Feb 6, 2026
May 31, 1995 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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