Deutsche Bank FX Volatility Index

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How volatility evolves over time

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{name} Model Equation

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Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	1.0310	7.28***
αARCH	0.0264	8.50***
βGARCH	0.9694	263.84***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	1.0310	7.28***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0264	8.50***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9694	263.84***

V-Lab

Euro Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Euro Analyses