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V-Lab
V-Lab

Euro MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, November 13th, 2026

1 Day

5.70%

increased by 0.31%

1 Week

5.35%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Month

5.39%

decreased by 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 07:21 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/12/2024

to

11/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Euro MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Nov 6, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
mwindow51
αARCH0.0468
3.26***
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.0063
0.32
λ₁tau intercept0.0258
4.40***
λ₂forecast adj.0.9142
13.55***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.050

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0468
3.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0063
0.32
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0258
4.40***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9142
13.55***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.050

Half-life:

0 days