V-Lab
Euro MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
4.25%
increased by 0.02%
1 Week
4.38%
increased by 0.15%
1 Month
4.41%
increased by 0.18%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 51 | |
| αARCH | 0.0472 | 3.28*** |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| γleverage | 0.0068 | 0.35 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0263 | 4.37*** |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.9122 | 13.22*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
0.051
Persistence0d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0472 | 3.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0068 | 0.35 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0263 | 4.37*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9122 | 13.22*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.051
Half-life:
0 days
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