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V-Lab
V-Lab

Euro MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

4.25%

increased by 0.02%

1 Week

4.38%

increased by 0.15%

1 Month

4.41%

increased by 0.18%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Euro MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
mwindow51
αARCH0.0472
3.28***
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.0068
0.35
λ₁tau intercept0.0263
4.37***
λ₂forecast adj.0.9122
13.22***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.051

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0472
3.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0068
0.35
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0263
4.37***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9122
13.22***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.051

Half-life:

0 days