Euro MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 25th, 2026
1 Day
-0.00%
decreased by 2.51%
1 Week
0.48%
decreased by 2.03%
1 Month
0.65%
decreased by 1.86%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, May 24, 2026 at 02:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 61 | ||
| 0.7500 | 7,499,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 4.9111 | 15.01 | |
| 0.4979 | 11.02 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to May 22, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to May 22, 2026
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