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V-Lab

Danish Krone Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

4.51%

increased by 0.06%

1 Week

4.52%

increased by 0.07%

1 Month

4.55%

increased by 0.10%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 07:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Danish Krone SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 324 trading days (~1.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8889
5.90***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0255
8.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9723
316.21***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0006
-1.01

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

324 days