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V-Lab

Danish Krone AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

4.42%

decreased by 0.05%

1 Week

4.44%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Month

4.52%

increased by 0.05%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 01:41 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/04/2024

to

10/04/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Danish Krone AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 416 trading days (~1.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~416 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0004
2.22**
αARCH0.0280
10.73***
βGARCH0.9704
369.38***
γleverage-0.0553
-1.45

0.998

Persistence

416d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0004
2.22**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0280
10.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9704
369.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0553
-1.45

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

416 days