V-Lab
Danish Krone GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
4.54%
decreased by 0.06%
1 Week
4.56%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Month
4.63%
increased by 0.03%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 01:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 465 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 33% more than negative returns
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0004 | 11.89*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0294 | 19.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9728 | 1,354.88*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0074 | -3.10*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
465 days
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