V-Lab
Danish Krone GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 17th, 2026
1 Day
3.98%
decreased by 0.03%
1 Week
4.00%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Month
4.08%
increased by 0.07%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 03:44 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 482 trading days (~1.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~482 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0004 | 2.94*** |
| αARCH | 0.0295 | 4.97*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9728 | 339.31*** |
| γleverage | -0.0074 | -0.78 |
0.999
Persistence482d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0004 | 2.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0295 | 4.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9728 | 339.31*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0074 | -0.78 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
482 days
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