V-Lab
Danish Krone GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
4.26%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Week
4.28%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Month
4.36%
increased by 0.06%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 07:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 434 trading days (~1.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0005 | 11.59*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0266 | 37.35*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9718 | 1,316.82*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
434 days
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