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V-Lab

Danish Krone GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

4.26%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Week

4.28%

decreased by 0.02%

1 Month

4.36%

increased by 0.06%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 07:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Danish Krone GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 434 trading days (~1.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0005
11.59***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0266
37.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9718
1,316.82***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

434 days