Danish Krone GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026
1 Day
4.32%
increased by 0.02%
1 Week
4.34%
increased by 0.04%
1 Month
4.41%
increased by 0.11%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 441 trading days (~1.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GARCH Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~441 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0004 | 2.88*** |
| αARCH | 0.0265 | 9.35*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9719 | 330.35*** |
0.998
Persistence441d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0004 | 2.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0265 | 9.35*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9719 | 330.35*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
441 days
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