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US Dollar to Mexican Peso GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

5.12%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Week

5.40%

increased by 0.05%

1 Month

6.31%

increased by 0.96%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 01:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of US Dollar to Mexican Peso GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 50 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 50 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 50-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0073
2.45**
αARCH0.1369
7.31***
βGARCH0.8494
64.55***

0.986

Persistence

50d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0073
2.45**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1369
7.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8494
64.55***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

50 days