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V-Lab

Kuwaiti Dinar GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026

1 Day

3.35%

decreased by 0.15%

1 Week

3.35%

decreased by 0.15%

1 Month

3.35%

decreased by 0.15%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 08:14 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/14/2024

to

10/14/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kuwaiti Dinar GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 28, 1991 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 68 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 68 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 68-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0005
3.08***
αARCH0.0867
5.14***
βGARCH0.9031
57.68***

0.990

Persistence

68d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0005
3.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0867
5.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9031
57.68***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

68 days