V-Lab
Kuwaiti Dinar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
212.92%
decreased by 15.10%
1 Week
212.66%
decreased by 15.36%
1 Month
211.66%
decreased by 16.36%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 28, 1991 to Jul 24, 2026Extended Optimization
Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1961 | 17.18*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0527 | 177.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9988 | |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0001 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
582 days
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