Skip to main content
V-Lab

Russian Ruble GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

47.87%

increased by 3.33%

1 Week

47.88%

increased by 3.34%

1 Month

47.93%

increased by 3.39%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 07:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Russian Ruble GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 2000 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.05 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

11.7479
12.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0423
129.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0516
7,890.92***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days