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V-Lab

Kuwaiti Dinar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

4.15%

decreased by 0.20%

1 Week

4.14%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Month

4.09%

decreased by 0.26%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kuwaiti Dinar GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 28, 1991 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 75 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0004
12.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0766
10.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9041
233.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0200
1.67*

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

75 days