US Dollar to Indian Rupee EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
5.40%
increased by 0.24%
1 Week
5.58%
increased by 0.42%
1 Month
6.29%
increased by 1.13%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 13, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 30, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 41% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0013 | 0.44 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2460 | 46.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9859 | 654.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0420 | 9.91*** |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
49 days
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