Colombian Peso GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 7th, 2026
1 Day
11.12%
decreased by 0.35%
1 Week
11.15%
decreased by 0.32%
1 Month
11.25%
decreased by 0.22%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 6, 2026 at 07:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0011 | 18.83 | |
| 0.0773 | 27.04 | |
| 0.9360 | 761.00 | |
| -0.0266 | -6.31 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 20, 1992 to Jul 3, 2026
Aug 20, 1992 to Jul 3, 2026
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