Colombian Peso GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 15th, 2026
1 Day
15.33%
decreased by 0.51%
1 Week
15.35%
decreased by 0.49%
1 Month
15.42%
decreased by 0.42%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, June 14, 2026 at 01:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0011 | 18.90 | |
| 0.0773 | 26.93 | |
| 0.9359 | 759.04 | |
| -0.0264 | -6.20 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 20, 1992 to Jun 12, 2026
Aug 20, 1992 to Jun 12, 2026
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