Colombian Peso GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 25th, 2026
1 Day
10.72%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Week
10.75%
decreased by 0.31%
1 Month
10.85%
decreased by 0.21%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, May 24, 2026 at 01:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0011 | 18.65 | |
| 0.0769 | 26.90 | |
| 0.9363 | 762.44 | |
| -0.0263 | -6.18 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 20, 1992 to May 22, 2026
Aug 20, 1992 to May 22, 2026
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