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V-Lab

Colombian Peso GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

177.76%

decreased by 1.89%

1 Week

177.68%

decreased by 1.97%

1 Month

177.39%

decreased by 2.26%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 07:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Colombian Peso GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 20, 1992 to Jul 17, 2026
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

94.1181
10.82***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0431
145.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9983
7,030.48***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0030

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

414 days