Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

US Dollar to Gold Troy Ounce GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026

1 Day

18.06%

decreased by 0.48%

1 Week

17.89%

decreased by 0.65%

1 Month

17.29%

decreased by 1.25%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 01:18 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

11/08/2024

to

11/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of US Dollar to Gold Troy Ounce GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 27, 2013 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 31-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0164
1.49
αARCH0.0281
1.56
βGARCH0.9361
60.69***
γleverage0.0272
0.59

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0164
1.49
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0281
1.56
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9361
60.69***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0272
0.59

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days