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V-Lab

Dogecoin to US Dollar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

46.71%

decreased by 1.30%

1 Week

49.00%

increased by 0.99%

1 Month

55.93%

increased by 7.92%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 06:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Dogecoin to US Dollar GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 23, 2022 to Jul 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 112% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6936
8.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1416
6.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8673
89.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0749
-3.16***

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

24 days