Dogecoin to US Dollar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
46.71%
decreased by 1.30%
1 Week
49.00%
increased by 0.99%
1 Month
55.93%
increased by 7.92%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 06:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 23, 2022 to Jul 11, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 112% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6936 | 8.93*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1416 | 6.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8673 | 89.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0749 | -3.16*** |
Persistence:
0.972
Half-life:
24 days
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