Dogecoin to US Dollar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026
1 Day
52.08%
increased by 0.48%
1 Week
53.71%
increased by 2.11%
1 Month
58.85%
increased by 7.25%
Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 07:03 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 23, 2022 to Nov 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 24-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.6548 | 2.34** |
| αARCH | 0.1431 | 1.80* |
| βGARCH | 0.8692 | 24.32*** |
| γleverage | -0.0807 | -0.91 |
0.972
Persistence24d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6548 | 2.34** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1431 | 1.80* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8692 | 24.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0807 | -0.91 |
Persistence:
0.972
Half-life:
24 days
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