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Dogecoin to US Dollar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 28th, 2026

1 Day

78.46%

decreased by 4.43%

1 Week

78.48%

decreased by 4.41%

1 Month

78.56%

decreased by 4.33%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 28, 2026 at 06:03 AM UTC

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graph of Dogecoin to US Dollar GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 23, 2022 to Sep 26, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 27-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6220
2.30**
αARCH0.1409
1.79*
βGARCH0.8732
24.85***
γleverage-0.0784
-0.89

0.975

Persistence

27d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6220
2.30**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1409
1.79*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8732
24.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0784
-0.89

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days