V-Lab
Dogecoin to US Dollar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
67.46%
decreased by 3.56%
1 Week
68.09%
decreased by 2.93%
1 Month
70.16%
decreased by 0.86%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 06:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 23, 2022 to Sep 5, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 27-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.6278 | 2.30** |
| αARCH | 0.1435 | 1.77* |
| βGARCH | 0.8704 | 24.17*** |
| γleverage | -0.0783 | -0.86 |
0.975
Persistence27d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6278 | 2.30** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1435 | 1.77* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8704 | 24.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0783 | -0.86 |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
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