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US Dollar to Canadian Dollar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

7.38%

increased by 0.49%

1 Week

11.61%

increased by 4.72%

1 Month

17.84%

increased by 10.95%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 13, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of US Dollar to Canadian Dollar GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 8.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1254
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.6812
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9086
0.00
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.9990
0.00

Persistence:

0.909

Half-life:

7 days