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V-Lab
V-Lab

Czech Koruna MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

5.49%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Week

5.82%

increased by 0.25%

1 Month

5.88%

increased by 0.31%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 03:44 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/18/2024

to

10/18/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Czech Koruna MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 19, 1993 to Oct 16, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.0647
2.85***
βGARCH0.0784
0.49
γleverage0.0302
0.86
λ₁tau intercept0.0390
4.68***
λ₂forecast adj.0.9061
10.69***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.158

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0647
2.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0784
0.49
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0302
0.86
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0390
4.68***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9061
10.69***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.158

Half-life:

0 days