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V-Lab
V-Lab

Czech Koruna MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026

1 Day

5.29%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

5.62%

increased by 0.33%

1 Month

5.88%

increased by 0.59%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 28, 2026 at 07:11 PM UTC

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graph of Czech Koruna MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 19, 1993 to Sep 25, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.0650
2.86***
βGARCH0.0785
0.49
γleverage0.0301
0.85
λ₁tau intercept0.0393
4.68***
λ₂forecast adj.0.9054
10.63***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.159

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0650
2.86***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0785
0.49
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0301
0.85
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0393
4.68***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9054
10.63***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.159

Half-life:

0 days