V-Lab
Ethereum to US Dollar MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
39.56%
decreased by 0.66%
1 Week
43.95%
increased by 3.73%
1 Month
54.66%
increased by 14.44%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 06:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 7, 2018 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0879 | 11.64*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2103 | 26.52*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7380 | 105.41*** |
Persistence:
0.948
Half-life:
13 days
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