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V-Lab

Chilean Peso GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

10.75%

increased by 0.20%

1 Week

10.77%

increased by 0.22%

1 Month

10.82%

increased by 0.27%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Chilean Peso GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 31, 1992 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 364 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~364 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0015
3.70***
αARCH0.0546
4.45***
βGARCH0.9499
143.94***
γleverage-0.0128
-0.64

0.998

Persistence

364d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0015
3.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0546
4.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9499
143.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0128
-0.64

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

364 days