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V-Lab

Chilean Peso GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

8.74%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Week

8.77%

decreased by 0.18%

1 Month

8.87%

decreased by 0.08%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 01:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Chilean Peso GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 31, 1992 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 354 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 31% more than negative returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0015
14.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0548
17.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9496
572.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0129
-2.56**

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

354 days