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US Dollar to Kuwaiti Dinar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026

1 Day

3.26%

decreased by 0.14%

1 Week

3.27%

decreased by 0.13%

1 Month

3.31%

decreased by 0.09%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 02:53 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/08/2024

to

11/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of US Dollar to Kuwaiti Dinar GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 126 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~126 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0004
3.03***
αARCH0.0744
2.47**
βGARCH0.9088
65.01***
γleverage0.0226
0.47

0.995

Persistence

126d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0004
3.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0744
2.47**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9088
65.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0226
0.47

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

126 days