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V-Lab

US Dollar to Kuwaiti Dinar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

7.10%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Week

7.07%

decreased by 0.37%

1 Month

6.98%

decreased by 0.46%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 12, 2026 at 01:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of US Dollar to Kuwaiti Dinar GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 138 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0003
12.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0743
9.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9090
258.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0235
1.93*

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

138 days