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US Dollar to Chinese Renminbi GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

38.23%

decreased by 2.11%

1 Week

38.23%

decreased by 2.11%

1 Month

38.26%

decreased by 2.08%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 01:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of US Dollar to Chinese Renminbi GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 14, 2005 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

6.4954
13.41***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0408
132.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9987
9,791.09***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0007

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

529 days