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US Dollar to Malaysian Ringgit GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

88.08%

decreased by 8.27%

1 Week

87.99%

decreased by 8.36%

1 Month

87.65%

decreased by 8.70%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 03:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of US Dollar to Malaysian Ringgit GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6751
9.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0654
243.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
8,840.71***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0005

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days