V-Lab
US Dollar to Malaysian Ringgit GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
88.08%
decreased by 8.27%
1 Week
87.99%
decreased by 8.36%
1 Month
87.65%
decreased by 8.70%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 03:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6751 | 9.12*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0654 | 243.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9990 | 8,840.71*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0005 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
693 days
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