Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

US Dollar to Malaysian Ringgit Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

3.89%

increased by 0.15%

1 Week

4.12%

increased by 0.38%

1 Month

4.88%

increased by 1.14%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of US Dollar to Malaysian Ringgit SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 78 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.991, shock half-life ~78 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6390
1.98**
αARCH0.1677
10.65***
βGARCH0.8234
62.70***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-0.0967
-3.31***
γ20.1493
3.50***
γ3-0.0231
-0.81
γ4-0.0787
-2.88***
γ50.0527
2.16**
γ60.0118
0.58
γ7-0.0204
-0.87

0.991

Persistence

78d

Half-life
τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6390
1.98**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1677
10.65***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8234
62.70***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-0.0967
-3.31***
γ20.1493
3.50***
γ3-0.0231
-0.81
γ4-0.0787
-2.88***
γ50.0527
2.16**
γ60.0118
0.58
γ7-0.0204
-0.87

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

78 days