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US Dollar to Malaysian Ringgit GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

3.68%

decreased by 0.19%

1 Week

3.69%

decreased by 0.18%

1 Month

3.71%

decreased by 0.16%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of US Dollar to Malaysian Ringgit GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0001
10.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0901
20.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9056
494.86***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0086
0.91

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days