V-Lab
Moroccan Dirham GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026
1 Day
6,240.67%
decreased by 888.15%
1 Week
6,234.43%
decreased by 894.39%
1 Month
6,209.59%
decreased by 919.23%
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 28, 2026 at 07:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Unreliable tails: v = 2.00 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.3481 | 0.70 |
| αARCH | 0.1034 | 18.32*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9990 | 690.39*** |
| νDF | 2.0000 |
0.999
Persistence693d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3481 | 0.70 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1034 | 18.32*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9990 | 690.39*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0000 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
693 days
Other Moroccan Dirham Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on Currencies