US Dollar to British Pound MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 22nd, 2026
1 Day
10.10%
decreased by 2.39%
1 Week
7.82%
decreased by 4.67%
1 Month
4.33%
decreased by 8.16%
Analysis last updated: Friday, June 19, 2026 at 10:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 46 | ||
| 0.7500 | 7,499,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.1859 | 1,859,400.00 | |
| 0.0002 | 2,420.00 | |
| 0.7407 | 7,406,500.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 2000 to Jun 19, 2026
Jan 1, 2000 to Jun 19, 2026
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