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V-Lab

Solactive Myanmar-Focused Asia Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Inactive

Last recorded values (Monday, March 10th, 2025):

1 Day

6.43%

1 Week

14.64%

1 Month

135.77%

Analysis last updated: Friday, March 14, 2025 at 11:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Solactive Myanmar-Focused Asia Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2012 to Mar 7, 2025

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.7500
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
2,762.40***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.02

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-