Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Solactive Myanmar-Focused Asia Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Inactive

Last recorded values (Monday, March 10th, 2025):

1 Day

15.15%

1 Week

15.14%

1 Month

15.11%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 04:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Solactive Myanmar-Focused Asia Index SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2012 to Mar 7, 2025

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 31 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1509
5.70***
αARCH0.0764
4.78***
βGARCH0.9017
57.06***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0062
0.93

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1509
5.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0764
4.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9017
57.06***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0062
0.93

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days