Solactive Myanmar-Focused Asia Index AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Inactive
Last recorded values (Monday, March 10th, 2025):
1 Day
14.75%
1 Week
14.74%
1 Month
14.72%
Analysis last updated: Friday, March 14, 2025 at 11:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 19, 2012 to Mar 7, 2025Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.35) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0101 | 6.55*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0650 | 18.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9138 | 242.08*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3476 | 13.14*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
32 days
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