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V-Lab

Solactive Myanmar-Focused Asia Index AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Inactive

Last recorded values (Monday, March 10th, 2025):

1 Day

14.75%

1 Week

14.74%

1 Month

14.72%

Analysis last updated: Friday, March 14, 2025 at 11:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Solactive Myanmar-Focused Asia Index AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2012 to Mar 7, 2025

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.35) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0101
6.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0650
18.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9138
242.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3476
13.14***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

32 days