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V-Lab
V-Lab

Solactive Myanmar-Focused Asia Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Inactive

Last recorded values (Monday, March 10th, 2025):

1 Day

14.89%

1 Week

14.84%

1 Month

14.67%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 04:07 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

03/07/2023

to

03/07/2025

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Solactive Myanmar-Focused Asia Index S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2012 to Mar 7, 2025

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 31 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0877
6.34***
αARCH0.0769
4.81***
βGARCH0.9010
56.58***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0018
0.94

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0877
6.34***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0769
4.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9010
56.58***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0018
0.94

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days