V-Lab
Solactive Myanmar-Focused Asia Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Inactive
Last recorded values (Monday, March 10th, 2025):
1 Day
14.89%
1 Week
14.84%
1 Month
14.67%
Analysis last updated: Friday, March 14, 2025 at 11:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 19, 2012 to Mar 7, 2025Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 31 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0877 | 6.34*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0769 | 4.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9010 | 56.58*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0018 | 0.94 |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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