V-Lab
Solactive Myanmar-Focused Asia Index MEM Volatility Analysis
Inactive
Last recorded values (Monday, March 10th, 2025):
1 Day
13.06%
1 Week
13.13%
1 Month
13.40%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 04:07 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 19, 2012 to Mar 7, 2025Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 164 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
MEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~164 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0065 | 1.78* |
| αARCH | 0.1276 | 7.52*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8682 | 60.15*** |
0.996
Persistence164d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0065 | 1.78* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1276 | 7.52*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8682 | 60.15*** |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
164 days
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