V-Lab
Solactive Myanmar-Focused Asia Index GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Inactive
Last recorded values (Monday, March 10th, 2025):
1 Day
14.59%
1 Week
14.59%
1 Month
14.58%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, March 26, 2026 at 06:37 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 19, 2012 to Mar 7, 2025Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 35 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 35 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.22 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8389 | 8.85*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0699 | 28.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9803 | 404.58*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 6.2188 | 5.76*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
35 days
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